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›Changelog›Likelihood to Win: choose what to test
  • Likelihood to Win
  • Backlog

Likelihood to Win:
choose what to test

Copied from a competitor, or just a hunch? Now every test idea shows how likely it is to win, before you build it.

Fabian GmeindlCo-Founder

November 2, 2026Published

What is new

Every test idea in Apex now gets its Likelihood to Win: one percent, like 72%, that says how likely the idea is to win, compared with the other ideas in your backlog.

Apex scores each idea with learnings from over 4,000 of DRIP's own tests and 4.3 million observed A/B tests, and shows how many tests back the number. So the next test you build is the one at the top.

What you can do with it

  • Score: every test idea gets its Likelihood to Win before you build it.
  • Evidence: see how many tests back each number.
  • Rank: your ideas sorted against your own backlog, so the next test is at the top.

Setup

Live in three steps

Add an idea, get its odds.

  1. 30-day free trial

    your-shop.com

    Install Apex

    1

    Start your free trial

    Install Apex on your shop.

  2. BacklogAdd idea

    Show honest stock information

    Ask the Apex chat what to test next

    2

    Add your test ideas

    Type them into your backlog, or ask the Apex chat what to test next.

  3. Ranked by Likelihood to Win

    • 72%Show honest stock information
    • 68%Size guide next to the size picker
    • 64%Bundle picker on the product page
    3

    Pick the top one

    Every idea shows its Likelihood to Win and its rank. Build, launch and read it in Apex.

Likelihood to Win

On every idea

  • A test idea in Apex with a Likelihood to Win of 72 percent, based on similar tests

    Likelihood to Win

    One percent per idea, for example 72%.

  • The evidence behind the score: 4.3 million tracked A/B tests and similar tests across the market

    Backed by

    How many tests support the number.

  • A backlog ranked by Likelihood to Win, with the 72 percent idea at the top

    Rank

    Where the idea sits in your backlog.

Good to know

Likelihood to Win ranks an idea against your own backlog. It tells you what to test next; it does not promise that a test wins.

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